Two-Tone Blue Dudes: Jaxon Smith-Njigba

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After yesterday’s episode of Football & Other F Words, I figured I needed to continue to ride the wave of the JSN Hype Train. Sure, people have been on JSN, but we filled that train up with rocket fuel yesterday afternoon, and the train is somewhere around Uranus.

Spoiler Alert: He’s awesome.

Yesterday, I kicked off this series with Tyler Scott. I thought his ceiling is a Darnell Mooney, Tyler Lockett type. In fact, as I write this, I am kicking myself for not remembering my Tyler Lockett comp from last week. What an idiot.

Anyways, here’s a reminder for how we are using the Wide Receiver Traits Tool that paid subscribers have full access to:

• The Physical Traits

• The Athletic Traits

• The Advanced Metrics

• The On-The-Field Metrics

I am actually going to grade these players on a scale of 100. Each section is worth 25 points. We will see where some of these guys stack up to their contemporaries in this draft class. I will also slowly eliminate some prospects as we go as to get a very concise look.

I Am An Idiot: Tyler Scott vs Tyler Lockett

Just real quick, to make up for my error yesterday, I am going to do a quick run-through of Scott vs Lockett. For the record, Lockett was a much more productive prospect coming out of college.

Lockett was drafted in the 3rd round at pick 69. Titans would likely have to draft Scott at 3.72. So, the comparison starts there. Let’s get into the physical/athletic traits:

Physically, they’re almost identical. Athletically, Scott wins out because he is more explosive. So, edge to Scott.

Here’s how they rank in the advanced metrics (Scott | Lockett):

• College Dominator Rating: 41% | 44.2%

• Yards Per Reception: 16.6 | 14.3

• Target Share: 24.8% | 36.1%

The edge is going to goto Lockett, but there are some more similarities right there. Both have a + metric in every category that matters. I already discussed how much more productive Lockett’s college career was, but how do the metrics stack up final year vs final year?:

• Yards per Route Run (YPRR): 2.49 | 3.65

• Drop %: 11.3 | 6.2%

• Yards After Catch (YAC): 361 | 455

• YAC/Reception (YAC/R): 6.6 | 4.3

• Missed Tackles Forced (MTF): 12 | 9

• Average Depth of Target (aDOT): 12.7 | 11.9

Not too bad in the on-the-field stuff. I think Lockett obviously, overall, performed better in college (I’ve only said it now three times). Here’s what I mean:

• Tyler Scott: 62.5% catch rate | 904 yds | 16.4 y/r | 9 TDs

• Tyler Lockett: 72.1% catch rate | 1,515 yds | 14.3 y/r | 11 TDs

The NFL discounted Lockett because of his size, and he has proved them wrong. He spent the majority of his time line-up outside (84.3%), and the NFL projected him as a slot only guy. Sound Familiar?

Lockett has spent almost an even split inside and outside in the NFL, and I project Scott to be the same. Hence my comparison here, and low third, high fourth round grade.

Onto JSN!

JSN: The Physical Build