Titans Schedule: Analyzing Weeks 11-14

Taking a different and more informative approach to analyzing the Tennessee Titans Schedule.

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I am writing this outside on Memorial Day. I got a house I need to get ready to put on the market for the ole real estate gig, so I wanted to knock out my articles today. Got a brisket on the smoker and I am ready to roll. Brisket with Mexican Street Corn on the way today.

I am going to get back to analyzing four games. Well…really 3.5 because I already touched on the bulk of the Colts in a previous article, but nonetheless get you some quality info to start your short week.

Week 11: at the Jacksonville Jaguars

Key Additions: Calvin Ridley off suspension
Key Losses: No one

Stats of the Game: The Titans are 7-3 under Mike Vrabel versus the Jaguars. Ryan Tannehill is 5-1 versus the Jaguars since becoming the Titans starting quarterback. He has only thrown ONE interception versus the Jaguars and has thrown 11 touchdowns. He has 14 total touchdowns including rushing touchdowns.

Tannehill pretty much owns the Jaguars.

Key Matchup to Exploit: The Jaguars defense is still nothing to be scared of and I think the Titans with a new scheme facing a familiar one is a real advantage for the Titans. Keep in mind that while AJ Brown/Eagles is a tad bit different situation, there is something to say about Downing’s language and the Titans offense being predictable and noticeable for opposing teams.

Brown pretty much gave the Eagles the keys to the kingdom, but the Jaguars could easily pinpoint those tendencies as well. You play someone enough you start to learn their tells. I think with Kelly coming in and changing things up will help, while the Jaguars haven’t changed anything.

Scariest Matchup for the Titans: Just eating up the secondary like they did in the first 2022 game. That was a nightmare game. Now you add in Ridley to the roster and that game could’ve been even more off the rails than what it was. This team feasted on the Titans and basically they were running wide open versus the defense.

That wasn’t the case in the second game but that’s because the Lawrence magic run was starting to run out and the Jaguars didn’t seem as a desperate for a win as the Titans were. However, the Jaguars not only got a taste of the post-season, the young squad got a miraculously victory. They should be even more feisty this year, but I don’t think they did enough this offseason to change the outlook of this team.

Jaguars’ Summer Storylines to Watch: Evan Engram is holding out. Whether that turns into some kind of hold-in, he isn’t playing on the tag. Which is kind of odd cause I swore I thought he was okay with it, but this is a very good thing.

Sure, they still have Ridley, but Engram went off versus the Titans and he is probably the still the bigger threat because he is a safety net for Lawrence and was a huge reason

Why the Titans Will Win: Because the Titans are going to be healthy. In the first meeting the Titans didn’t have Treylon Burks and in the second meeting the Titans didn’t have Tannehill nor a healthy team altogether. So, a healthy Titans team can win this game because we have seen it done in the past.

The Titans will also win because no one has any idea who the true Trevor Lawrence is. You can project all you want, projections are fun. If you turn out wrong: “It’s just a projection!”, and if you’re right; “See, I told you all!”. The fact is no one knows if the Lawrence that went on an insane middle of the season run versus terrible pass defenses and an easy schedule is the true Lawrence or is it the guy that is woefully inconsistent and not living up to his draft stock.

I never bought into the hype that was Lawrence is Luck/Manning in terms of a prospect. It was ridiculous after a very pedestrian season in terms of those lofty expectations I just mentioned. Lawrence has yet to show that he can consistently perform at a high level in the NFL. That is a fact.

Does that mean he can’t or won’t? Who knows, no one does. Stop acting like you do. Just say you believe Lawrence will be great or elite not that he is great or elite. Cause right now he falls into the 60% of the 20/60/20 starting NFL QB Model.

20%: Elite, you win because

60%: You can win with

20%: Stinks

It is very likely, in my opinion based on what I have seen, he will stay in that 60%. I have yet to see them win consistently because of Lawrence. They’ve essentially continued to add weapons and make sure he has no excuses. His team is pretty good around him. How good? Much like Lawrence, who knows? The performers of the Jaguars last year kind of all had weird outlier years.

In the end, if Lawrence is who I think the film shows he is, a healthy Titans team should be able to make him look pedestrian much like the 2022 season finale.

Why the Titans Will Lose: The Titans will lose because the Jaguars are better than what most fans give them credit for. While I do not think this team has the division locked up by any means, they are better than the Jaguars teams that the Titans were regularly sweeping during the season.

The Jaguars only made one real addition, but this team pretty much made moves thinking that resembles moves made by a team that one 14 games last year. They barely got a winning record in 2022 and their moves are just kind of confusing.

All that draft capital and they walk away with possible one starter? Seems odd. No real moves in Free Agency either, which means this team thinks that it will continue to grow and gel and win games because they hav a Super Bowl roster.

They don’t, obviously, but they do have a roster that can cause the Titans headaches.

Final Verdict: It’s an away game, and the third one in a row for the Titans. I think they are going to drop this game, unfortunately and be heading into Week 12 at 5-5 and with 2 losses in the division.

Week 12: vs the Carolina Panthers